Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.304683 2.515505 2.741201 3.001504 3.294313 3.614512 3.992510
2025-11-23 1.989540 2.274496 2.598383 2.996401 3.475944 4.039661 4.759277
2025-11-30 1.831546 2.165727 2.562701 3.074482 3.724772 4.534496 5.636718
2025-12-07 1.673836 2.030472 2.468656 3.055042 3.832271 4.846330 6.302498
2025-12-14 1.542675 1.911062 2.376493 3.019169 3.902269 5.102182 6.908982
2025-12-21 1.405350 1.770182 2.241507 2.909008 3.853699 5.181353 7.262523
2025-12-28 1.332614 1.706816 2.201221 2.919705 3.967975 5.494126 7.991063
2026-01-04 1.277468 1.661871 2.180563 2.953010 4.113426 5.861916 8.846595
2026-01-11 1.230566 1.624152 2.165766 2.991143 4.266072 6.251935 9.786163
2026-01-18 1.186449 1.586847 2.147909 3.021472 4.406678 6.633750 10.761032
2026-01-25 1.139388 1.542063 2.115555 3.025970 4.504598 6.952531 11.665100
2026-02-01 1.077563 1.472261 2.041766 2.960143 4.481109 7.060661 12.187189
2026-02-08 1.026962 1.417246 1.988225 2.924537 4.508169 7.265494 12.941173
2026-02-15 0.985981 1.374391 1.950573 2.911566 4.572184 7.542920 13.886736
2026-02-22 0.969113 1.366683 1.966074 2.985875 4.793506 8.134041 15.594628
2026-03-01 0.932227 1.326325 1.927851 2.967043 4.845688 8.406989 16.649849
2026-03-08 0.894653 1.283024 1.882445 2.932473 4.865246 8.616408 17.594392
2026-03-15 0.844574 1.217974 1.798817 2.826324 4.742037 8.523316 17.795811
2026-03-22 0.821758 1.194942 1.782267 2.836632 4.840822 8.899615 19.232304
2026-03-29 0.804658 1.180152 1.778310 2.868727 4.984047 9.386388 21.056022
2026-04-05 0.789395 1.167546 1.777157 2.905470 5.139227 9.917884 23.121775
2026-04-12 0.773565 1.153247 1.772266 2.934691 5.281283 10.437266 25.279085
2026-04-19 0.754206 1.132273 1.754830 2.939023 5.371640 10.847335 27.213590